As 2025 draws to a close, Donald Trump’s favorable stance to digital currency has failed to suffice to sustain the industry’s gains, previously the driver behind broad optimism and enthusiasm. The last few months of 2025 have seen an estimated $1 trillion in value erased from the crypto market, despite bitcoin reaching a record peak of $126,000 on October 6th.
That record high was short-lived. Bitcoin’s price plummeted shortly afterward following an announcement of 100% tariffs on China created turmoil throughout financial markets on October 12th. Digital asset markets saw an unprecedented $19 billion liquidated within a day – a record-setting liquidation event ever documented. The second-largest crypto, Ethereum, endured a 40% drop in price over the next month.
The industry got the pro-bitcoin president it had anticipated during the campaign. Shortly after inauguration, an executive order was signed that repealed restrictions on cryptocurrency while enacting business-friendly rules alongside a presidential working group focused on crypto.
“Cryptocurrency is a vital component in innovation and economic growth nationally, as well as our Nation’s international leadership,” the order read.
Again in spring, the announcement of a digital asset reserve sparked a significant rally in the market, with prices of select named coins jumping by over 60%. The leading cryptocurrency rose 10% immediately following the news.
Digital assets reacts strongly to both narratives and investor confidence in global markets, said a leading analyst. It’s what is called a risk-on asset, an investment that does better when investors are feeling confident regarding economic conditions and are ready to take on more risk.
“The current government may be pro-crypto, however, trade wars and tight monetary policy trump favorable rhetoric,” they continued. “This also serves as a stark reminder, especially for people in crypto, that broader economic factors really matter more than political stances.”
In November, BTC suffered its biggest drop in value in several years, bringing the coin’s value to less than $81,000. Although it recovered some of that value subsequently, December began with another slump, a six percent fall triggered by a major corporate holder cutting its earnings forecast due to falling crypto prices. Its value now hovers near $90,000.
Some experts are concerned the industry is entering a so-called a prolonged bear market, a period of stagnation and declining prices. The last such downturn lasted from the end of 2021 through 2023. That period saw bitcoin slump around seventy percent in price.
“This latest collapse isn’t a change in belief, but a collision of three structural factors: the lingering effects of a $19bn leverage washout; a risk-off rotation driven by geopolitical trade disputes; and, crucially, the possible unwinding of corporate crypto holdings,” stated a noted economist.
Another potential factor impacting the crypto market is the downturn in share prices of AI stocks. “One of the reasons why bitcoin is tied to the AI cycle is because a lot of bitcoin miners have diversified their energy towards new datacenters,” it was explained. “Pessimism in tech often spills over into crypto.”
Amid the worries about a bear market, prominent leaders in the crypto space voiced confidence in the future worth of Bitcoin. A top CEO remarked “there was no chance” the price of bitcoin would go to zero and that 2025 will be remembered as the time “when crypto went from a fringe market to a well-lit establishment”. A separate pointed out increased investment from sovereign wealth funds.
Analysts suggest this downturn is not inconsistent with historical market cycles , adding that a much more sustained crypto winter may not be imminent.
“If I was looking of a traditional bitcoin cycle, we are actually currently in a downtrend,” came the assessment. “But as you can see, despite all of these macros impacting the market, it has held to set a price well above eighty thousand dollars.”
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